{"id":185874,"date":"2025-06-21T01:43:03","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T05:43:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/live-updates-for-reds-vs-cardinals-6-21-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-21T23:52:02","modified_gmt":"2025-06-22T03:52:02","slug":"live-updates-for-reds-vs-cardinals-6-21-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/live-updates-for-reds-vs-cardinals-6-21-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Live Updates for Reds vs Cardinals &#8211; 6\/21\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+165<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-195<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the St. Louis Cardinals prepare to host the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium on June 21, 2025, they&#8217;re looking to build on their recent success. The Cardinals dominated last night&#8217;s matchup, winning 6-1, which showcases their strong performance as they hold a record of 41-35 this season. In contrast, the Reds are sitting at 39-37 and are grappling with consistency, having lost decisively in their last game.<\/p>\n<p>Both teams are fighting for positioning in the National League Central, and the stakes are high as they continue their series. The Cardinals are projected to start Sonny Gray, who has had an impressive season with a 7-2 record and a solid <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.84<\/a> ERA. Though he struggled in his last start, allowing 6 earned runs, the advanced-stat Power Rankings still slot him as the 28th best starting pitcher in MLB out of approximately 350. On the other hand, the Reds will counter with Brent Suter, whose performance has been lackluster this season, with a much lower 1-0 record and a 4.38 xFIP that suggests he may soon face adversity.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals&#8217; offense ranks 12th overall and shines in batting average, where they&#8217;re an impressive 3rd in MLB. However, their power numbers are lacking\u2014ranked 22nd in home runs. Meanwhile, the Reds bring a slightly better offensive ranking at 10th, but their overall performance has been inconsistent, especially against teams with strong pitching like Gray.<\/p>\n<p>With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs, the Cardinals are currently favored with a moneyline of -190, implying a team total of 5.17 runs. Given the notable disparities in pitching matchup and recent performances, St. Louis looks poised to assert their dominance in this pivotal matchup.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Will Benson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Will Benson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last week&#8217;s worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cincinnati Reds bullpen ranks as the 7th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Sonny Gray &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Sonny Gray&#8217;s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (58.9% this year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alec Burleson &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+185\/-245)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) suggests that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year with his .313 actual batting average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nolan Arenado &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In today&#8217;s matchup, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.7% rate (100th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211; Moneyline (-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.85 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.55 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>TJ Friedl &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-200\/+155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+6.70 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.6.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the St. Louis Cardinals prepare to host the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium on June 21, 2025, they&#8217;re looking to build on their recent success. The Cardinals dominated last&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":185875,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[485,265,15,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,73,153,263,272,67,17,262,260,258,269,514],"class_list":["post-185874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-alec-burleson","tag-boxscore","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-arenado","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-sonny-gray","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather","tag-will-benson"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Live Updates for Reds vs Cardinals - 6\/21\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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