{"id":16982,"date":"2024-07-23T07:14:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T11:14:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/review-giants-vs-dodgers-betting-line-and-odds-7-23-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-07-23T22:09:03","modified_gmt":"2024-07-24T02:09:03","slug":"review-giants-vs-dodgers-betting-line-and-odds-7-23-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/review-giants-vs-dodgers-betting-line-and-odds-7-23-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Giants vs Dodgers Betting Line and Odds &#8211; 7\/23\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+135<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>-155<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants face off at Dodger Stadium on July 23, 2024, in the second game of their National League West series. The Dodgers, with a season record of 60-41, are having a stellar campaign and currently sit atop their division. On the other hand, the Giants, at 48-53, are struggling to find their footing this season.<\/p>\n<p>The Dodgers claimed a narrow 3-2 victory over the Giants on July 22, with a game that was expected to be tight given their odds. Shohei Ohtani has been a standout for the Dodgers this season, boasting a batting average of .313, 30 home runs, and a stellar 1.033 OPS.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, the Dodgers will turn to right-handed pitcher Landon Knack. Despite his impressive <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.23<\/a> ERA, Knack\u2019s peripheral stats suggest he\u2019s been fortunate, with a 4.21 xFIP indicating potential regression. In his last outing on July 4, Knack pitched 4 innings, allowing 4 earned runs. THE BAT X projects Knack to pitch 4.6 innings, with 2.7 earned runs and 4.7 strikeouts, which could spell trouble for the Dodgers.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants will counter with Jordan Hicks, who holds a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.79<\/a> ERA. Like Knack, Hicks has shown signs of having been lucky this season, evidenced by his 4.75 xERA. Hicks got roughed up in his last start on July 11, surrendering 5 earned runs over 4 innings. Projections for Hicks today include a brief 4.8 innings outing, with 2.9 earned runs and 4.1 strikeouts.<\/p>\n<p>Offensively, the Dodgers rank 1st in MLB, fueled by power with the 3rd most home runs in the league. Meanwhile, the Giants&#8217; offense is middling at best, ranking 15th overall and struggling with power, sitting at 25th in home runs.<\/p>\n<p>Despite both pitchers trending towards regression, the powerful Dodgers lineup gives them the edge. While the Dodgers have a 59% implied win probability, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, sets their chances slightly lower at 55%, indicating this might be closer than it seems. However, with the Giants projected win probability being 4% higher than betting odds, savvy bettors might find value in backing the Giants as they look to bounce back.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jordan Hicks &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Over his previous 3 outings, Jordan Hicks has suffered a notable decrease in his fastball velocity: from 93.8 mph over the whole season to 92.6 mph of late.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Michael Conforto &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Michael Conforto is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jordan Hicks &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants&#8217;s expected catcher in today&#8217;s game) profiles as an elite pitch framer.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Landon Knack is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #2 HR venue among all stadiums in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cavan Biggio &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Cavan Biggio&#8217;s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.1-mph figure last season has lowered to 82.2-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 8th-best among all MLB teams.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.55 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.35 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jorge Soler &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.80 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.18.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants face off at Dodger Stadium on July 23, 2024, in the second game of their National League West series. The Dodgers, with&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16983,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,285,165,433,8,528,434,73,282,281,27],"class_list":["post-16982","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-jordan-hicks","tag-landon-knack","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-matt-chapman","tag-miguel-rojas","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-san-francisco-giants"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Review Giants vs Dodgers Betting Line and Odds - 7\/23\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on July 23, 2024. 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