{"id":160692,"date":"2025-05-31T00:49:02","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T04:49:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-props-preview-for-reds-vs-cubs-5-31-25\/"},"modified":"2025-05-31T18:17:03","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T22:17:03","slug":"player-props-preview-for-reds-vs-cubs-5-31-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-props-preview-for-reds-vs-cubs-5-31-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Props Preview for Reds vs Cubs – 5\/31\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cincinnati<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+150<\/span>O\/U: 7
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-170<\/span><\/div>\n

As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face the Cincinnati Reds on May 31, 2025, there\u2019s plenty on the line in this National League Central matchup. The Cubs stand at 35-22, riding the high of a strong season despite a setback in their last game on May 30, where they fell to the Reds 6-2. In contrast, the Reds enter the game with a 29-29 record, displaying a more average performance this season.<\/p>\n

The pitching matchup features the Cubs\u2019 Ben Brown, who has had a tumultuous season, sporting a 3-3 record and an alarming 6.39 ERA<\/a>. However, his 3.30 xFIP suggests he might be due for some positive regression. Brown’s last start was rough, getting knocked around for 8 earned runs in just 4 innings. He projects to strike out an average of 5.8 batters today, but his tendency to allow hits and walks could be a concern against a decent Reds lineup.<\/p>\n

On the other side, Nick Lodolo is slated to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has been more consistent, with a 4-4 record and a solid 3.39 ERA<\/a>. He performed reasonably well in his last outing, allowing 3 earned runs over 5 innings. However, projections indicate that Lodolo may face challenges today, particularly against a Cubs offense that ranks as the 3rd best in MLB, excelling in batting average and home runs.<\/p>\n

With the Cubs’ offense firing on all cylinders and their bullpen ranked 24th, the game total set at a low 7.0 runs hints at a tight contest. The Cubs have the edge as betting favorites with a moneyline of -175, suggesting they are likely to capitalize on their offensive firepower against a Reds team that will need to step up to pull off the upset.<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Nick Lodolo – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Nick Lodolo has utilized his change-up 5.9% more often this year (22.4%) than he did last season (16.5%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Matt McLain – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Matt McLain is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Cincinnati’s 88.6-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the majors: #28 overall.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Carson Kelly – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Carson Kelly has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year’s 91.4-mph average.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Kyle Tucker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Today, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.75 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Dansby Swanson – Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face the Cincinnati Reds on May 31, 2025, there\u2019s plenty on the line in this National League Central matchup. The Cubs stand at 35-22,… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":160693,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[14,15,769,825,73,475,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-160692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-kyle-tucker","tag-matt-mclain","tag-mlb","tag-nick-lodolo","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Props Preview for Reds vs Cubs - 5\/31\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs matchup on May 31, 2025. 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