{"id":15811,"date":"2024-07-22T04:41:03","date_gmt":"2024-07-22T08:41:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/review-giants-vs-dodgers-betting-line-and-odds-7-22-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-07-22T22:13:02","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T02:13:02","slug":"review-giants-vs-dodgers-betting-line-and-odds-7-22-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/review-giants-vs-dodgers-betting-line-and-odds-7-22-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Giants vs Dodgers Betting Line and Odds &#8211; 7\/22\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+100<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium on July 22, 2024, for the first game in their National League West series. The Dodgers, currently sporting a 59-41 record, are having a stellar season and boast the best offense in MLB this year. In contrast, the Giants, with a 48-52 record, find themselves struggling to keep up, landing at 15th in offensive rankings.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, the Dodgers will start right-hander Gavin Stone, while the Giants counter with southpaw Blake Snell. Stone impressed in his last outing on July 19, allowing just one earned run over five innings. Meanwhile, Snell, despite his high <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">6.31<\/a> ERA, delivered a gem in his last start on July 14, pitching seven scoreless innings with eight strikeouts.<\/p>\n<p>The Dodgers have an implied win probability of 54%, with the current moneyline set at -130. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives them a slightly higher win probability of 55%. The Dodgers&#8217; potent lineup, which ranks 1st in both overall offense and home runs, poses a significant threat to Snell, who has struggled with a high flyball rate (39%) and control issues (10.8% BB rate) this season. <\/p>\n<p>Conversely, the Giants\u2019 bullpen is ranked 2nd according to Power Rankings, contrasting with their year-to-date performance, and may help mitigate the damage from their starters. For the Giants, Matt Chapman stands out as their best hitter, though their offense remains average overall.<\/p>\n<p>Adding to the narrative, the Dodgers&#8217; high-walk offense (#2 in MLB) will look to capitalize on Snell\u2019s tendency to issue free passes. Betting markets and THE BAT X projections suggest this could be a close game, but with the Dodgers\u2019 offensive firepower and a promising start from Stone, they appear to hold the upper hand. Expect a competitive matchup but keep an eye on the Dodgers&#8217; ability to exploit Snell\u2019s weaknesses.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Blake Snell &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Blake Snell has been granted an above-average leash since the start of last season, throwing 4.3 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average pitcher.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>LaMonte Wade Jr &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.5) suggests that LaMonte Wade Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his 8.2 actual HR\/600.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Blake Snell &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants&#8217;s expected catcher in today&#8217;s matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chris Taylor &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Over the last 14 days, Chris Taylor&#8217;s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers&#8217; bullpen grades out as the 9th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.55 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+9.50 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Freddie Freeman &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+530\/-950)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+9.35 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.18.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium on July 22, 2024, for the first game in their National League West series. The Dodgers, currently sporting&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15812,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,409,285,432,8,434,73,282,281,27],"class_list":["post-15811","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-blake-snell","tag-expert-picks","tag-lamonte-wade-jr","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-miguel-rojas","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-san-francisco-giants"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Review Giants vs Dodgers Betting Line and Odds - 7\/22\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on July 22, 2024. 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