{"id":157757,"date":"2025-05-28T04:06:02","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T08:06:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-the-braves-vs-phillies-best-bets-and-expert-picks-wednesday-may-28-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-28T15:22:03","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T19:22:03","slug":"check-out-the-braves-vs-phillies-best-bets-and-expert-picks-wednesday-may-28-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-the-braves-vs-phillies-best-bets-and-expert-picks-wednesday-may-28-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out the Braves vs Phillies Best Bets and Expert Picks – Wednesday May 28, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Atlanta<\/p>\n

Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Philadelphia<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+130<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-150<\/span><\/div>\n

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Atlanta Braves on May 28, 2025, in a critical National League East matchup. The Phillies currently sit at 35-19, enjoying a strong season, while the Braves are struggling at 25-28, falling below average. Yesterday, the Phillies bested the Braves, continuing to assert their dominance in the series.<\/p>\n

Zack Wheeler, projected to start for the Phillies, stands out as a key factor in this game. With a 6-1 record and an impressive 2.42 ERA<\/a>, he ranks as the 3rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. Wheeler’s ability to limit earned runs\u2014projecting to allow only 2.2 today\u2014will be crucial against a Braves offense that ranks 13th in the league and has struggled to generate consistent scoring.<\/p>\n

On the other side, the Braves will counter with AJ Smith-Shawver, whose 3.67 ERA<\/a> is somewhat misleading given his 5.60 xERA. This suggests that he could be due for tougher outings moving forward. Smith-Shawver’s high walk rate (10.6 BB% this season) could prove problematic against a Phillies lineup that excels at drawing walks, currently ranking 5th in MLB for free passes.<\/p>\n

The game total is set at a low 7.5 runs, reflecting expectations for a pitching duel. With the Phillies offense ranked 5th overall and performing well, they hold the edge in this matchup. Betting lines indicate the Phillies as favorites with a moneyline of -160, reflecting a favorable outlook for them against a Braves team that appears to be struggling to find its footing.<\/p>\n

Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Atlanta Braves hitters as a group have been among the best in MLB this year (6th-) when it comes to their 90.1-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+12.80 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+9.55 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Ozzie Albies – Over\/Under 0.5 RBIs (+280\/-400)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.15 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
      <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Atlanta Braves on May 28, 2025, in a critical National League East matchup. The Phillies currently sit at 35-19, enjoying a strong season, while… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":157758,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[801,10,283,286,287,289,288,284,548,285,73,447,282,444,32,281,118],"class_list":["post-157757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-aj-smith-shawver","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-bryce-harper","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-nick-castellanos","tag-odds","tag-ozzie-albies","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-picks","tag-zack-wheeler"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out the Braves vs Phillies Best Bets and Expert Picks - Wednesday May 28, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies on May 28, 2025. 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