{"id":157750,"date":"2025-05-28T03:50:28","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T07:50:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-betting-odds-and-expert-picks-for-cardinals-vs-orioles-may-28-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-28T22:07:02","modified_gmt":"2025-05-29T02:07:02","slug":"explore-betting-odds-and-expert-picks-for-cardinals-vs-orioles-may-28-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-betting-odds-and-expert-picks-for-cardinals-vs-orioles-may-28-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Cardinals vs Orioles &#8211; May 28, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BAL.png\" alt=\"Baltimore Orioles logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-110<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles and the St. Louis Cardinals continue their three-game series on May 28, 2025, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Cardinals took the previous matchup, besting the Orioles 7-4. With the Orioles struggling at 19-35, they find themselves at the bottom of the standings, while the Cardinals are posting a much better 31-24 record, indicating a solid season.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, the Orioles are projected to start Cade Povich, who has a Win\/Loss record of 1-3 and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.86<\/a>, suggesting he&#8217;s been below average this year. However, his 3.97 xFIP indicates he might be due for a turnaround after a decent outing in his last start where he allowed just one earned run. In contrast, the Cardinals will counter with Miles Mikolas, who has a record of 4-2 and an impressive <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.51<\/a> ERA, although his 4.97 xFIP suggests he may have been a bit fortunate this season.<\/p>\n<p>Offensively, the Orioles rank 19th in MLB, with a particularly poor batting average of 22nd. Despite their struggles, they are still capable of hitting home runs, ranking 10th. Meanwhile, the Cardinals boast a solid 11th best offense and excel in batting average, sitting 3rd in that category. The Cardinals\u2019 best hitter has been productive, accumulating 34 runs and a commendable OPS of 0.888 over the past week.<\/p>\n<p>With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, oddsmakers view this matchup as competitive, placing the Orioles&#8217; moneyline at -120 and the Cardinals at +100. The projections suggest the Orioles may have a slight edge, but they need to improve their offensive consistency to capitalize on their favorable odds.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miles Mikolas &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Miles Mikolas&#8217;s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (56% compared to 49% last year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nolan Arenado &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-200\/+155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The St. Louis Cardinals bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cade Povich &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Cade Povich&#8217;s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 19th percentile among all starters.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gunnar Henderson &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Gunnar Henderson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year&#8217;s 92.7-mph average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ryan Mountcastle &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them in the direction of the game&#8217;s shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Baltimore Orioles &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.85 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211; Moneyline (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ivan Herrera &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195\/+150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.25 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.15.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Baltimore Orioles and the St. Louis Cardinals continue their three-game series on May 28, 2025, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Cardinals took the previous matchup, besting the&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":157751,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,283,286,287,289,288,284,314,285,364,846,152,73,153,282,281,17],"class_list":["post-157750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cade-povich","tag-expert-picks","tag-gunnar-henderson","tag-heston-kjerstad","tag-miles-mikolas","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-arenado","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explore Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Cardinals vs Orioles - May 28, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Baltimore Orioles on May 28, 2025. 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