{"id":147470,"date":"2025-05-19T03:54:02","date_gmt":"2025-05-19T07:54:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-phillies-vs-rockies-monday-may-19-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-19T23:09:05","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T03:09:05","slug":"find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-phillies-vs-rockies-monday-may-19-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-phillies-vs-rockies-monday-may-19-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Phillies vs Rockies &#8211; Monday May 19, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/PHI.png\" alt=\"Philadelphia Phillies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/COL.png\" alt=\"Colorado Rockies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Colorado Rockies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-235<\/span><span>O\/U: 10<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>+200<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On May 19, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the Philadelphia Phillies at Coors Field in what is the first matchup of this series. The Rockies enter the game struggling mightily with a record of 8-38 this season, which places them at the bottom of the National League. Meanwhile, the Phillies, with a solid 28-18 record, are positioned well for a potential playoff run. This comes as the Phillies recently had a thrilling performance, winning their last game, while the Rockies continue to sink deeper into a troubled season.<\/p>\n<p>Kyle Freeland is slated to take the mound for the Rockies. He has endured a rough year, with an 0-6 record and a concerning ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">6.15<\/a>. Despite a low 3.47 xFIP suggesting he might improve, Freeland will be challenged against a potent Phillies lineup that ranks 8th in MLB offensively. The projections indicate that Freeland will average 5.2 innings pitched, allowing 3.5 earned runs, which may not be enough to keep the Rockies competitive.<\/p>\n<p>Cristopher Sanchez, starting for the Phillies, brings a much more impressive resume, holding a 4-1 record with an excellent ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">2.91<\/a>. Sanchez is a high-strikeout pitcher, which could spell trouble for the Rockies, who lead MLB in strikeouts. Considering the Rockies&#8217; offense ranks a dismal 28th in the league, they face an uphill battle.<\/p>\n<p>The game total is set at 10.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring affair. While the Rockies have been deemed massive underdogs, there may be a glimmer of hope if Freeland can capitalize on the Phillies&#8217; weaknesses against left-handed pitching. However, the Rockies\u2019 overall struggles suggest that the Phillies should be the favored side to win decisively.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cristopher Sanchez &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all starting pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez&#8217;s fastball velocity of 94.9 mph ranks in the 83rd percentile this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Johan Rojas &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme flyball bats like Johan Rojas tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Freeland.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Philadelphia Phillies bats as a group have been one of the best in baseball this year (5th-) as far as their 90.2-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Colorado Rockies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+185)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Kyle Freeland is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field \u2014 the #5 HR venue among all stadiums \u2014 in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ryan McMahon &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ryan McMahon is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jacob Stallings &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 8th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+9.75 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 10.0 Game Total (-115\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.25 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alec Bohm &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+6.90 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.4.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On May 19, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the Philadelphia Phillies at Coors Field in what is the first matchup of this series. The Rockies enter the game struggling&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":147471,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[16,215,655,119,835,417,73,32,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-147470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-colorado-rockies","tag-cristopher-sanchez","tag-jacob-stallings","tag-johan-rojas","tag-kyle-farmer","tag-kyle-freeland","tag-mlb","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Phillies vs Rockies - Monday May 19, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies matchup on May 19, 2025. 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