{"id":138024,"date":"2025-05-11T01:12:02","date_gmt":"2025-05-11T05:12:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/how-to-watch-cardinals-vs-nationals-sunday-may-11-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-11T15:42:02","modified_gmt":"2025-05-11T19:42:02","slug":"how-to-watch-cardinals-vs-nationals-sunday-may-11-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/how-to-watch-cardinals-vs-nationals-sunday-may-11-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Watch Cardinals vs Nationals &#8211; Sunday, May 11, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/WSH.png\" alt=\"Washington Nationals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Washington Nationals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+120<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On May 11, 2025, the Washington Nationals will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Nationals Park for the third game of their series. The Nationals are currently struggling with a record of 17-23, while the Cardinals hold a slightly better 21-19 record. In their last matchup, the Nationals fell to the Cardinals 4-2 on May 10, continuing a rough stretch for the home team.<\/p>\n<p>MacKenzie Gore is expected to take the mound for the Nationals, and despite the team&#8217;s overall challenges, he has shown promise this season. Gore ranks as the 45th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics, boasting a solid ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.33<\/a> and a favorable 2.41 xFIP, suggesting he might be due for better outcomes moving forward. He projects to pitch around 5.5 innings, allowing an average of 2.5 earned runs and striking out 6.4 batters, showcasing his potential to keep the game competitive.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, the Cardinals will counter with Miles Mikolas, who has struggled this season. Mikolas is ranked among the worst pitchers in the league with a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.76<\/a> ERA and a concerning 5.40 xFIP, indicating he may face difficulties against a Nationals offense that ranks 16th overall but has shown flashes of capability. <\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, the Nationals\u2019 top hitter has been productive lately, maintaining a .320 batting average over the last week, while the Cardinals&#8217; best hitter has also been on fire, posting a .364 average during the same period. This matchup presents an intriguing dynamic, especially with the Nationals favored at a moneyline of -155, suggesting they have a solid chance to bounce back in this contest. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, reflecting expectations for a competitive encounter.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miles Mikolas &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Miles Mikolas (34.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today&#8217;s game with 5 GB hitters in Washington&#8217;s projected offense.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jordan Walker &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, compiling a .243 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 \u2014 a .066 discrepancy.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The St. Louis Cardinals (19.9 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today&#8217;s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Washington Nationals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>MacKenzie Gore &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">MacKenzie Gore&#8217;s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (51.5% compared to 44.7% last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>James Wood &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">James Wood has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that&#8217;s usually a big &#8220;IF&#8221; (27.4% K%).  Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) \u2014 great news for Wood.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> If he is less likely to strikeout, he&#8217;ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Washington Nationals &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst among all the teams in MLB.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211; Moneyline (+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.30 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alex Call &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Alex Call has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.2.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On May 11, 2025, the Washington Nationals will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Nationals Park for the third game of their series. The Nationals are currently struggling with a&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":138025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,132,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,563,273,267,270,312,152,73,263,272,17,262,260,258,11,269],"class_list":["post-138024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-brendan-donovan","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-james-wood","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mackenzie-gore","tag-miles-mikolas","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-washington-nationals","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How to Watch Cardinals vs Nationals - Sunday, May 11, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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