{"id":124267,"date":"2025-04-28T03:11:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-28T07:11:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-predictions-for-marlins-vs-dodgers-april-28-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-04-28T22:17:03","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T02:17:03","slug":"player-predictions-for-marlins-vs-dodgers-april-28-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-predictions-for-marlins-vs-dodgers-april-28-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Predictions for Marlins vs Dodgers – April 28, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Miami<\/p>\n

Miami Marlins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Los<\/p>\n

Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+240<\/span>O\/U: 9
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-285<\/span><\/div>\n

On April 28, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Miami Marlins in the first game of their series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are enjoying a strong season with an 18-10 record, while the Marlins sit at 12-15, struggling to find consistency. In their last game on April 27, the Dodgers secured a convincing 9-2 victory, showcasing their powerful offense, which ranks 2nd in MLB for home runs this season.<\/p>\n

Dustin May is projected to take the mound for the Dodgers, despite a rough outing in his previous start where he allowed 7 earned runs over 5 innings. Nevertheless, he holds a respectable 3.68<\/a> ERA this season and is considered an average pitcher by advanced metrics. The projections indicate that he is likely to improve, especially against a Marlins offense that ranks among the lowest in walks drawn. May’s ability to limit free passes could give him an edge in this matchup.<\/p>\n

Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins, bringing a 6.14<\/a> ERA into this contest. He has struggled this season, with a winless record of 0-1 and projections suggesting he may be due for better results. However, he faces a daunting challenge against the Dodgers’ potent lineup. Cabrera’s flyball tendencies could lead to trouble, particularly against a team that has already hit 45 home runs this year.<\/p>\n

Betting odds heavily favor the Dodgers, with a moneyline of -280, reflecting their strong position. The Dodgers are projected to score an impressive 5.59 runs, while the Marlins are expected to struggle with a low total of 3.41 runs. With the Dodgers’ high-powered offense and a favorable matchup for May, this game presents a significant opportunity for Los Angeles to continue their winning ways.<\/p>\n

Miami Marlins Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Edward Cabrera – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Edward Cabrera’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (70.1% compared to 63.4% last year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Matt Mervis – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Matt Mervis is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#3-worst of all teams on the slate).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Matt Mervis – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Matt Mervis pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% \u2014 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-255)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      In his last outing, Dustin May performed well and allowed 0 ER.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Michael Conforto – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Michael Conforto has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 14 days.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-285)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order ranks as the strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-285)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.75 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.10 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        On April 28, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Miami Marlins in the first game of their series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are enjoying a strong season… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":124268,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[792,830,353,8,26,738,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-124267","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-dane-myers","tag-dustin-may","tag-edward-cabrera","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-miami-marlins","tag-michael-conforto","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Predictions for Marlins vs Dodgers - April 28, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers matchup on April 28, 2025. 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