{"id":122227,"date":"2025-04-26T05:09:04","date_gmt":"2025-04-26T09:09:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/game-highlights-for-pirates-vs-dodgers-april-26-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-04-26T21:37:03","modified_gmt":"2025-04-27T01:37:03","slug":"game-highlights-for-pirates-vs-dodgers-april-26-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/game-highlights-for-pirates-vs-dodgers-april-26-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Highlights for Pirates vs Dodgers – April 26, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Los<\/p>\n

Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+220<\/span>O\/U: 9
(+100\/-120)<\/span>-260<\/span><\/div>\n

On April 26, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will look to bounce back after a disappointing 3-0 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates the previous day. With a solid record of 16-10, the Dodgers are enjoying a strong season, while the Pirates are struggling at 11-16. This matchup at Dodger Stadium features projected starters Roki Sasaki and Mitch Keller, both right-handed pitchers.<\/p>\n

Roki Sasaki, currently ranked as the 37th best starting pitcher according to the leading MLB projection system, has had a mixed season thus far, with a 0-1 record and a commendable 3.20<\/a> ERA. However, his 5.29 xFIP suggests he may not be as lucky as his ERA indicates. Sasaki\u2019s ability to limit earned runs (projected at 1.9 today) could be vital against a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league. Despite his low strikeout rate of 18.6 K%, he faces a Pirates lineup that strikes out frequently, presenting a potential advantage.<\/p>\n

On the other side, Mitch Keller has a 1-2 record and an ERA of 4.18<\/a>. Although he pitched well in his last start, allowing only 2 earned runs over 5 innings, the projections indicate that he could be in for a rough outing today. With expected stats showing he could allow 3.5 earned runs and 5.7 hits, the Dodgers\u2019 offense\u2014ranked 8th in MLB\u2014should capitalize on his struggles.<\/p>\n

With the Dodgers listed as heavy favorites and an implied team total of 5.25 runs, this game presents a favorable opportunity for Los Angeles to get back on track as they look to secure a win in this series.<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+190)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Mitch Keller is an extreme flyball pitcher (31.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #5 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Oneil Cruz – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Oneil Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 18.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Andrew McCutchen – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% \u2014 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Roki Sasaki – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Roki Sasaki in the 87th percentile among all starters in baseball.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Shohei Ohtani – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Shohei Ohtani’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 94.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 78.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-260)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Los Angeles Dodgers – Over\/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.50 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Over\/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Freddie Freeman – Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        On April 26, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will look to bounce back after a disappointing 3-0 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates the previous day. With a solid record of… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":122228,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[493,265,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,155,273,267,270,8,376,73,263,9,823,272,511,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-122227","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andrew-mccutchen","tag-boxscore","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-joey-bart","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-mitch-keller","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-roki-sasaki","tag-score","tag-shohei-ohtani","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"\nGame Highlights for Pirates vs Dodgers - April 26, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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