{"id":117074,"date":"2025-04-21T00:24:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-21T04:24:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/white-sox-vs-red-sox-injury-report-monday-april-21-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-04-21T23:43:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T03:43:02","slug":"white-sox-vs-red-sox-injury-report-monday-april-21-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/white-sox-vs-red-sox-injury-report-monday-april-21-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"White Sox vs Red Sox Injury Report &#8211; Monday, April 21, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CWS.png\" alt=\"Chicago White Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago White Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+240<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-290<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox welcome the struggling Chicago White Sox to Fenway Park on April 21, 2025, in what could be a pivotal game in their season. The Red Sox are currently sitting at 12-11, enjoying an above-average start, while the White Sox languish at a dismal 5-16. In their last matchup, the Red Sox took the win, and they look to keep that momentum rolling against a team that has struggled offensively all season.<\/p>\n<p>Walker Buehler is projected to start for Boston, aiming to improve on his 2-1 record and 5.23 ERA. Although Buehler&#8217;s ERA is concerning, his 3.88 xFIP suggests that he has been somewhat unlucky, and he projects to allow only 2.2 earned runs today. Meanwhile, Jonathan Cannon is slated to take the mound for Chicago, and he has yet to find success, holding a 0-2 record with a 4.42 ERA. However, his xFIP of 4.94 indicates that he may be due for regression.<\/p>\n<p>Offensively, the Red Sox rank 11th in MLB with a strong lineup, particularly excelling in walks, where they stand 5th overall. This is particularly significant as Cannon has struggled with control, boasting a high walk rate at 13.1%. If the Red Sox can capitalize on this weakness, they could significantly enhance their scoring opportunities. Conversely, the White Sox&#8217;s offense is 30th in MLB, indicating they have had great difficulty generating runs and hits this season.<\/p>\n<p>With a high Game Total of 9.0 runs and Boston favored heavily at a moneyline of -295, expectations are for the Red Sox to put on a strong offensive display against the weak White Sox pitching. This matchup presents a great opportunity for Boston to solidify their position and take advantage of Chicago&#8217;s ongoing struggles.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago White Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jonathan Cannon &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jonathan Cannon&#8217;s cutter percentage has jumped by 5.8% from last season to this one (19.8% to 25.6%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miguel Vargas &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Miguel Vargas is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago White Sox &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Chicago White Sox bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Walker Buehler &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all starting pitchers, Walker Buehler&#8217;s fastball velocity of 94.7 mph grades out in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Rafael Devers &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Rafael Devers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season&#8217;s 93.1-mph EV.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jarren Duran &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball&#8217;s shallowest LF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-265)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago White Sox &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jarren Duran &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.21.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Red Sox welcome the struggling Chicago White Sox to Fenway Park on April 21, 2025, in what could be a pivotal game in their season. The Red Sox&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117075,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,265,19,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,562,351,273,267,270,73,800,263,272,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-117074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-boxscore","tag-chicago-white-sox","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-jarren-duran","tag-jonathan-cannon","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-nick-maton","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>White Sox vs Red Sox Injury Report - Monday, April 21, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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