{"id":114825,"date":"2025-04-19T01:22:03","date_gmt":"2025-04-19T05:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/injuries-update-for-royals-vs-tigers-april-19-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-04-19T23:59:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-20T03:59:02","slug":"injuries-update-for-royals-vs-tigers-april-19-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/injuries-update-for-royals-vs-tigers-april-19-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Injuries Update for Royals vs Tigers &#8211; April 19, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/KC.png\" alt=\"Kansas City Royals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Kansas City Royals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+115<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Detroit Tigers prepare to host the Kansas City Royals on April 19, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the American League Central. The Tigers currently hold a record of 12-8, while the Royals are struggling at 8-13. In their latest matchup, the Tigers secured a convincing victory, further solidifying their status as a competitive team this season.<\/p>\n<p>Detroit is projected to start Casey Mize, a right-handed pitcher who has shown flashes of brilliance with a 2-1 record and an impressive <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">2.60<\/a> ERA. Despite being ranked as the 128th best starting pitcher in MLB, Mize&#8217;s underlying metrics suggest he may have been fortunate so far, with a 4.38 xFIP indicating potential regression. He faces a Royals lineup that has managed to hit only 10 home runs this season, the fewest in MLB, which could play to Mize&#8217;s advantage as a high-flyball pitcher.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Kansas City will counter with Seth Lugo, who comes in with a 1-2 record and a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.86<\/a> ERA. Lugo&#8217;s performance has been more stable, with projections showing he can pitch around 6.0 innings while allowing 2.8 earned runs on average. However, he faces a Tigers offense that ranks 9th in MLB, making it a challenging outing for him.<\/p>\n<p>The projections suggest a close contest, with the Tigers holding a slight edge in the betting markets. With their strong bullpen ranked 7th in MLB, Detroit has the tools to maintain their momentum against a Royals team that has struggled overall. As the game total sits at an average 8.0 runs, fans can expect a tightly contested matchup with significant implications for both teams as they navigate through the season.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Kansas City Royals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seth Lugo &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Seth Lugo has gone to his cutter 5.8% more often this season (14%) than he did last year (8.2%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Michael Massey &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Michael Massey has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kansas City Royals &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Kansas City Royals bullpen projects as the 7th-worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211;  Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colt Keith &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Colt Keith&#8217;s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 87.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 80.8-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Trey Sweeney &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In today&#8217;s matchup, Trey Sweeney is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (96th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kansas City Royals &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.85 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Trey Sweeney &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.13.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Detroit Tigers prepare to host the Kansas City Royals on April 19, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the American League Central. The Tigers currently&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":114826,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,715,23,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,5,273,267,270,552,73,263,272,262,260,783,258,269],"class_list":["post-114825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-casey-mize","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-kansas-city-royals","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-michael-massey","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-trey-sweeney","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Injuries Update for Royals vs Tigers - April 19, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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