{"id":113441,"date":"2025-04-18T00:52:03","date_gmt":"2025-04-18T04:52:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/follow-the-live-updates-for-guardians-vs-pirates-4-18-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-04-18T23:57:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-19T03:57:02","slug":"follow-the-live-updates-for-guardians-vs-pirates-4-18-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/follow-the-live-updates-for-guardians-vs-pirates-4-18-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Follow the Live Updates for Guardians vs Pirates &#8211; 4\/18\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CLE.png\" alt=\"Cleveland Guardians logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cleveland Guardians<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/PIT.png\" alt=\"Pittsburgh Pirates logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-130<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>+110<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Pittsburgh Pirates prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians on April 18, 2025, both teams are struggling to find their footing this season. The Pirates currently sit at 8-12, while the Guardians hold a slightly better record of 9-9. Despite their mediocre performance, the Guardians&#8217; bullpen has been exceptional, ranking 1st in MLB, which gives them an edge in tight games.<\/p>\n<p>In their most recent game, the Guardians fell to the Pirates, a disappointing outcome for a team looking to build momentum. Now, they\u2019ll face a Pirates squad that has had a rough go, particularly on the offensive side, where they rank 28th in the league. Their struggles are amplified by the fact that Carmen Mlodzinski, projected to start for the Pirates, has had a tumultuous season, holding an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">6.23<\/a> and a Power Ranking placing him as the 168th best starting pitcher in MLB. Although projections suggest he may have been unlucky, his performance thus far has been underwhelming.<\/p>\n<p>Luis Ortiz, the Guardians&#8217; starter, is also not faring well, with a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">6.06<\/a> ERA. However, he projects to pitch an average of 5.3 innings today, which is a slight improvement over Mlodzinski\u2019s projection of 4.8 innings. While both pitchers are struggling, the Guardians may have an advantage if Ortiz can tap into his potential.<\/p>\n<p>The Guardians&#8217; offense has been inconsistent, ranking 20th in the league, but their best hitter is currently in good form, boasting a .381 batting average over the past week. This could be crucial against a Pirates lineup that has not been able to consistently produce runs. With a high Game Total of 9.0 runs, this matchup could hinge on which pitcher can limit damage, making it a compelling game for sports bettors to watch.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cleveland Guardians Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Ortiz &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luis L. Ortiz&#8217;s 95.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nolan Jones &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nolan Jones has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 97.2-mph over the last week.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nolan Jones &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball&#8217;s 11th-deepest LF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carmen Mlodzinski &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Given that groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Carmen Mlodzinski and his 43.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult spot in today&#8217;s outing squaring off against 1 opposing GB hitters.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Isiah Kiner-Falefa &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme flyball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Ortiz.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup in today&#8217;s games is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 25.3% underlying K%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today&#8217;s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cleveland Guardians &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Oneil Cruz &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.6.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Pittsburgh Pirates prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians on April 18, 2025, both teams are struggling to find their footing this season. The Pirates currently sit at 8-12,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":113442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,843,6,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,73,186,263,9,272,262,260,507,258,269],"class_list":["post-113441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-carmen-mlodzinski","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-jones","tag-official-lineup","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tommy-pham","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Follow the Live Updates for Guardians vs Pirates - 4\/18\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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