{"id":102524,"date":"2025-04-05T04:15:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-05T08:15:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-rays-vs-rangers-4-5-25\/"},"modified":"2025-04-05T19:05:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-05T23:05:02","slug":"find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-rays-vs-rangers-4-5-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-rays-vs-rangers-4-5-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Rays vs Rangers &#8211; 4\/5\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TB.png\" alt=\"Tampa Bay Rays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TEX.png\" alt=\"Texas Rangers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Texas Rangers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+155<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-180<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On April 5, 2025, the Texas Rangers host the Tampa Bay Rays in a pivotal matchup at Globe Life Field. The Rangers, boasting a strong 6-2 record this season, are enjoying a solid start. Meanwhile, the Rays sit at 4-3, also having a good season. The last time these two teams faced off, the Rangers came out on top, continuing to build their momentum as they aim to solidify their position in the standings.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers are set to start ace Jacob deGrom, who has been remarkable this season. His ERA stands at a flawless <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">0.00<\/a>, though his 3.54 xFIP suggests he might not sustain this level of performance moving forward. DeGrom&#8217;s high strikeout rate (30.0 K%) could be tested against a Rays offense that ranks among the league&#8217;s lowest in strikeouts, which may present an opportunity for Tampa Bay to level the playing field. <\/p>\n<p>On the other side, rookie Taj Bradley is projected to take the mound for the Rays. His <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.00<\/a> ERA is impressive, but with a xFIP of 1.73 points below, there are signs of better performance on the horizon. While he has shown the ability to keep hitters off balance, the Rangers&#8217; offense, currently ranked 47th in MLB, has struggled to capitalize consistently. <\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, the game total is set low at 7.5 runs, reflecting expectations for a tightly contested battle. Given the projections that favor the Rangers\u2019 overall talent, especially with their elite bullpen ranking 27th against the Rays&#8217; strong bullpen at 7th, Texas appears to have the upper hand. The current moneyline suggests the Rangers are favored, and with their solid recent performances, they look to secure another victory in this critical series.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tampa Bay Rays &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Taj Bradley is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Yandy Diaz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+1500\/-50000)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Yandy Diaz&#8217;s speed has decreased this year.  His 25.44 ft\/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.29 ft\/sec now.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can&#8217;t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tampa Bay Rays &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen grades out as the 8th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Texas Rangers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jacob deGrom &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">When estimating his strikeout ability, Jacob deGrom projects as the 2nd-best SP in MLB currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kyle Higashioka &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Typically, hitters like Kyle Higashioka who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Taj Bradley.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Josh H. Smith &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In today&#8217;s game, Josh Smith is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (87th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games at home (+12.30 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 121 games (+20.85 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jonny Deluca &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.14.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On April 5, 2025, the Texas Rangers host the Tampa Bay Rays in a pivotal matchup at Globe Life Field. The Rangers, boasting a strong 6-2 record this season, are&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102525,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[296,758,222,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,307,25,28],"class_list":["post-102524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-corey-seager","tag-jacob-degrom","tag-josh-h-smith","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-taj-bradley","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-texas-rangers"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Rays vs Rangers - 4\/5\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers matchup on April 5, 2025. 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