Los Angeles Angels
Athletics
(-115/-105)-140
As the Oakland Athletics prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on May 19, 2025, both teams find themselves struggling this season, with the Athletics at 22-25 and the Angels at 20-25. This American League West matchup is particularly crucial for both teams to gain momentum and improve their standings.
In their most recent outing, the Athletics are coming off a tough loss, further highlighting their below-average performance this season. Meanwhile, J.T. Ginn is slated to take the mound for Oakland. He has shown flashes of promise with a Power Ranking of #67 among MLB pitchers, indicating he’s been above average despite a less-than-stellar ERA of 4.61. Ginn’s high groundball rate of 59% may serve him well against the Angels’ powerful offense, which boasts 65 home runs this season, ranking 3rd in the league. However, his tendency to walk batters could be a vulnerability against a team that ranks 1st in fewest walks taken.
On the other side, the Angels will counter with Jose Soriano, who has been performing well with a solid ERA of 3.46 and stands at #45 in Power Rankings. Nevertheless, the projections suggest that Soriano may be due for regression, making his performance pivotal in this matchup. He faces an Athletics offense that ranks 12th in the league, with a strong batting average and home run count, despite their poor performance in stolen bases.
With a game total set at a high 9.5 runs, both teams will look to capitalize on each other’s weaknesses. The betting markets have set the Athletics’ moneyline at -130, suggesting they are slight favorites in what should be a closely contested game. As the Athletics look to improve their standing against a struggling Angels team, this matchup offers a thrilling opportunity for both squads to turn their seasons around.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #9 HR venue in the league — today.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)Logan O’Hoppe is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)Today, Zach Neto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.6% rate (93rd percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Athletics Insights
- J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Given his large platoon split, J.T. Ginn should be in good shape matching up with 6 hitters in the projected lineup who share his hand in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Tyler Soderstrom has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph dropping to 87.6-mph over the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Athletics have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 17.3° angle is among the highest in the league this year (#3 overall).Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.17 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-265/+195)Jacob Wilson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)