Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Giants vs Dodgers – Friday, June 13th, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Los Angeles Dodgers

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face the San Francisco Giants on June 13, 2025, at Dodger Stadium, both teams are enjoying strong seasons, with the Dodgers sitting at 41-28 and the Giants at 40-29. This matchup is particularly significant as it marks the first game of the series between two of the National League West’s top contenders. The Dodgers won their last game on June 11, topping the Giants, who fell in a close one on June 11 as well.

The pitching matchup features two elite right-handers: Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers and Logan Webb for the Giants. Yamamoto, ranked 4th among MLB starters, boasts a stellar 2.20 ERA and a solid strikeout rate, projecting to allow just 2.2 earned runs today. Despite a slightly higher xFIP of 2.81, indicating potential regression, his recent form is impressive, highlighted by a last start on June 7 where he threw 6 innings of shutout ball, striking out 9 batters.

Webb, ranked 5th among MLB starters, has also been effective with a 2.58 ERA. However, he faces a tough challenge against a Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in the league in offensive production and leads in batting average. While Webb has great control, his projected stats suggest he may struggle with hits and walks against this power-laden lineup.

Despite the Giants having the 22nd best offense this season, they will need a big performance from their hitters to keep pace. With the Dodgers being favored at -190 and an implied team total of 4.31 runs, they appear to be in a strong position to take this matchup. The projections support a favorable outcome for the Dodgers, who look to capitalize on their home advantage and elite offensive capabilities. Expect a competitive game, but the Dodgers look primed to secure the win.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)
  Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Tyler Fitzgerald’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.4-mph figure last season has lowered to 83.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Given his reverse platoon split, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a tough challenge matching up with 6 batters in the projected batting order of the same handedness in today’s outing.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Max Muncy usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+115/-150)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+160/-210)
  Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+7.35 Units / 97% ROI)