Top Player Prop Picks for Giants vs Rockies – June 10, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Colorado Rockies

The San Francisco Giants will visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies on June 10, 2025, in what marks the first game of their series. The Giants are currently positioned well above the Rockies in the standings, boasting a record of 38-28, compared to Colorado’s dismal 12-53. Given this current climate, the Giants are significant favorites in this matchup.

In their last outing, the Rockies suffered a heavy defeat, losing 13-5, while the Giants edged out their opponents with a close 4-3 victory. Colorado’s struggles have been evident, and they rank 29th in MLB offense, highlighted by a 30th place batting average. Their best hitter has shown some flashes of talent, with a .280 batting average and an .810 OPS this season, but overall team performance has been lackluster.

On the mound, the Rockies are projected to start Carson Palmquist, who has had a rough season, with an 0-4 record and a dreadful ERA of 8.50. While his xFIP of 5.59 suggests he might be due for some positive regression, his average projection of 4.5 innings pitched and 3.4 earned runs allowed today doesn’t inspire much confidence. In contrast, the Giants will counter with Kyle Harrison, who, despite an average ERA of 4.34, has shown the ability to perform better than his recent outings indicate, particularly after a rough start where he allowed 5 earned runs.

The Giants’ offense, while ranking 25th overall, still has more depth than Colorado’s lineup and is projected to score around 6.41 runs today. With the Rockies struggling to find their footing, this matchup heavily favors the Giants, who should capitalize on their opponent’s weaknesses and secure a victory.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Harrison will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Dominic Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-200/+155)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The San Francisco Giants have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Fitzgerald, Jerar Encarnacion, Willy Adames).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+195/-265)
  Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .280 rate is considerably higher than his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Colorado Rockies batters as a unit rank near the bottom of the league this year ( 7th-worst) when it comes to their 89.1-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.92 Units / 21% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 60% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 121% ROI)