
Los Angeles Angels
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Chicago Cubs
+160O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-185
(+100/-120)-185
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Ryan Johnson – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ryan Johnson to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Oswald Peraza – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Oswald Peraza is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#2-best of the day).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Jorge Soler, Mike Trout).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Edward Cabrera – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Edward Cabrera will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Ian Happ – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Johnson.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Chicago Cubs – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago Cubs’ bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-185)The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games at home (+18.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+18.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Moises Ballesteros – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)Moises Ballesteros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
