Starting Lineup for Mets vs Padres – August 24, 2024

New York Mets

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San Diego Padres

As the San Diego Padres host the New York Mets on August 24, 2024, both teams are looking to gain momentum in their respective seasons. Currently, the Padres hold a strong record of 73-57, while the Mets sit at 67-62. The Padres are enjoying a solid campaign, but the Mets are also having an above-average season. This matchup is crucial as the Padres recently blanked the Mets 7-0 in their last encounter on August 23, showcasing their potent offense.

In the pitching matchup, the Padres are projected to start Michael King, who ranks as the 21st best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. King has been effective this season with an 11-6 record and a solid ERA of 3.18. In his last outing on August 19, he pitched six innings, allowing just two earned runs while striking out six batters. However, he does project to allow an average of 4.7 hits, which could be a concern against a Mets offense that ranks 8th in MLB.

On the other side, David Peterson takes the mound for the Mets. While he boasts a 7-1 record and an impressive ERA of 3.00, his 4.28 xFIP suggests he may have been somewhat fortunate this year. Peterson’s last start was also strong, going seven innings with two earned runs and eight strikeouts. However, he faces a Padres lineup that ranks 1st in MLB in team batting average and 7th in overall offense, which could spell trouble for him.

According to projections, the Padres are favored in this matchup with an average expected run total of 4.38, while the Mets are projected to score just 3.95 runs. Given the Padres’ recent success and their offensive capabilities, they appear to have the edge in this pivotal National League clash.

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – Moneyline (+120)
  The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Mets bullpen profiles as the 9th-worst in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-145)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)
  Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)