St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
(-110/-110)-135
On September 14, 2024, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Rogers Centre for the second game of their interleague series. Both teams find themselves in the middle of the pack, with Toronto’s record sitting at 70-78 and St. Louis at 74-73. While the Blue Jays are struggling in a below-average season, the Cardinals are hovering around the .500 mark, indicating a more average performance thus far.
In their last matchup, the Blue Jays fell to the Cardinals, who are now looking to capitalize on their momentum. Toronto’s starting pitcher, Jose Berrios, has been a mixed bag this season. His 3.52 ERA suggests he has been effective, but a 4.29 xFIP indicates he might have been fortunate, and his projections show he could allow an alarming 5.5 hits and 1.3 walks on average today. Meanwhile, St. Louis will send Kyle Gibson to the mound, who has a 4.20 ERA but also shows signs of being lucky with a higher expected ERA of 4.71.
Offensively, the Blue Jays rank 14th in the league, with their best hitter, Spencer Horwitz, recently on a hot streak, boasting a .556 batting average over the last week. In contrast, the Cardinals’ best hitter, Brendan Donovan, has also been performing well but with less overall impact.
The projections favor the Blue Jays to score around 4.38 runs today, slightly edging out the Cardinals’ projected total of 4.01 runs. With the Blue Jays’ average bullpen ranked 23rd in MLB, they will need Berrios to perform up to his potential to secure a win against a capable Cardinals lineup. As the betting markets reflect a close contest, all eyes will be on this matchup to see if Toronto can bounce back and find their footing at home.
Betting Trends
- Davis Schneider – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)