See the Yankees vs Rangers Matchup Preview and Score Prediction – Tuesday August 5th, 2025

New York Yankees

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Texas Rangers

On August 5, 2025, the Texas Rangers will host the New York Yankees at Globe Life Field in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams having above-average seasons. The Rangers currently sit at 59-55, while the Yankees are slightly ahead at 60-53. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions as they vie for a Wild Card spot.

In their last game, the Yankees fell to the Rangers, setting the stage for this second game of the series. Nathan Eovaldi is projected to take the mound for Texas, boasting an impressive Win/Loss record of 9-3 and an excellent ERA of 1.49. Eovaldi’s high strikeout rate of 26.5% could be a significant advantage against a Yankees offense that ranks 6th in MLB for strikeouts. However, his tendency to allow 4.7 hits per game on average could be a concern, especially against a potent Yankees lineup that leads the league in home runs.

Will Warren, the Yankees’ projected starter, has a Win/Loss record of 6-5 and an average ERA of 4.64. While he has been unlucky this season, his xFIP of 3.56 suggests he may perform better in the coming games. The Yankees’ offense ranks 1st in MLB, showcasing their power with 181 home runs this season. However, they will face a challenge against Eovaldi’s low walk rate of 5.1%, which may limit their ability to capitalize on their patience at the plate.

With the Rangers’ offense ranking 28th in batting average but 5th in stolen bases, they will need to find ways to manufacture runs against a Yankees bullpen that ranks 13th in MLB. The Game Total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating a potentially close contest. The Rangers have an average implied team total of 4.23 runs, while the Yankees sit at 3.77 runs, suggesting a competitive matchup ahead.

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  The Texas Rangers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Trent Grisham has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph figure.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Yankees – Moneyline (+105)
  The best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the New York Yankees.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Nathan Eovaldi – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball velocity has decreased 2.1 mph this season (93.3 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Alejandro Osuna – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has had some very poor luck this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen profiles as the 9th-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Texas Rangers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-150)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)