See the Updated Player Rankings for Royals vs Padres – June 20, 2025

Kansas City Royals

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres will host the Kansas City Royals in an intriguing Interleague matchup on June 20, 2025, at Petco Park. Both teams are coming off wins, with the Padres securing a 5-3 victory over the New York Mets and the Royals defeating the Minnesota Twins 4-1. As the Padres sit at 40-34, they are having an above-average season, while the Royals are at 37-38, marking an average performance.

Nick Pivetta is projected to take the mound for San Diego. He has been impressive this season, sporting a 7-2 record and a solid 3.40 ERA. Pivetta’s last start on June 15 highlighted his capabilities, as he pitched 7 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs while striking out 9 batters. With a high strikeout rate of 27.7% and a low projected earned run average of 2.3 today, he has the edge against a Royals offense that ranks 2nd worst in MLB for strikeouts.

Michael Lorenzen, on the other hand, is expected to start for Kansas City. Despite his experience, Lorenzen has struggled, with a 4-7 record and a higher-than-desired ERA of 4.91. His last outing saw him yield 3 earned runs over 6 innings, and his projections today don’t bode well either, as he is expected to allow 2.9 earned runs and strike out only 3.7 batters.

The Padres’ offense ranks 20th overall but possesses potential with their best hitter enjoying a hot streak, boasting a .400 batting average over the last week. In contrast, the Royals’ offense ranks 27th and has struggled to generate power, which could work in Pivetta’s favor given his tendency to allow fly balls.

With a current moneyline of -155 favoring the Padres, the projections suggest they should capitalize on the Royals’ weaknesses, setting the stage for an exciting matchup at Petco Park.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Kansas City Royals will score 3.87 runs on average in this game: the 2nd-least of all teams in action today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

San Diego Padres Insights

• The San Diego Padres (18.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters of the day.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Run Line -1.5 (+135)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 54 games (+17.30 Units / 28% ROI)