See the Mariners vs Angels Matchup Preview and Score Prediction – Friday July 25th, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Seattle Mariners on July 25, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the standings. The Angels sit at 49-54, struggling through a below-average season, while the Mariners boast a solid 55-48 record, showcasing an above-average performance thus far. In their previous matchup, the Mariners secured a narrow victory, adding pressure on the Angels to even the series in this second game.

On the mound, the Angels are projected to start Jose Soriano, who has had a decent season with a 3.83 ERA and a 7-7 record. However, his performance has been somewhat inconsistent, especially concerning his high walk rate of 11.1% and allowing an average of 5.1 hits per game, which is troubling. Soriano’s ability to generate ground balls (69% groundball rate) could play a pivotal role against a high-powered Mariners offense that ranks 6th in home runs this season.

In contrast, the Mariners will send Bryan Woo to the hill. With an impressive 2.91 ERA and an 8-5 record, Woo is considered a great pitcher, ranking 19th among MLB starters. His ability to limit earned runs is impressive, but his xFIP suggests he could face some regression. Nevertheless, Woo’s matchup against the Angels, who rank only 24th in batting average, could favor the Mariners.

The Angels’ offense ranks a respectable 17th overall but struggles with a low batting average. However, they do excel in home runs, ranking 4th in the league. This power could be crucial against Woo, who has a flyball rate of 37% this season, potentially turning those fly balls into home runs.

With a game total set at 8.5 runs and the Mariners holding a slight edge in the betting markets, this matchup promises to be competitive. The Angels’ power hitting against Woo’s flyball tendencies could create an exciting dynamic, making this game one to watch closely.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-180)
  Recording 19.1 outs per outing this year on average, Bryan Woo places in the 97th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Cal Raleigh has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph EV.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners’ bullpen projects as the 8th-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jose Soriano – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Jose Soriano has utilized his four-seamer 5.7% less often this season (8.1%) than he did last year (13.8%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  As it relates to his batting average, Luis Rengifo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .241 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .290.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-150)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)