See the Giants vs Angels Matchup Preview and Score Prediction – Friday April 18th, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Los Angeles Angels

On April 18, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the San Francisco Giants at Angel Stadium for the first game of their interleague series. The Angels enter this matchup with a record of 9-9, while the Giants boast a strong 13-6 record, reflecting their excellent form this season. The Giants are currently ranked as the 3rd best bullpen in MLB, which could be a significant factor as they face off against the Angels’ 9th ranked bullpen.

Tyler Anderson, projected to start for the Angels, has had a decent start to the season with a 1-0 record and an impressive ERA of 2.87. However, advanced metrics suggest he may have been somewhat lucky, as indicated by his elevated xFIP of 5.23. Meanwhile, Logan Webb, the Giants’ starter, has been nothing short of elite, ranking 6th among MLB pitchers. His own solid ERA of 2.63 supports his reputation, and he projects to pitch 6.4 innings while allowing just 2.0 earned runs today, which is outstanding.

Offensively, the Angels rank 10th in MLB, driven largely by their power, ranking 3rd in home runs. However, their struggles with on-base opportunities, ranking 25th in stolen bases, could hinder their potential to capitalize on scoring chances against Webb’s groundball-heavy approach (53 GB%). The Giants, while not as powerful, rank 8th overall offensively, blending solid performances with a balanced attack.

With the odds favoring the Giants as -150 favorites and the Angels listed at +130, this game provides a classic underdog scenario. The projections suggest the Angels may be undervalued at their current moneyline, especially with their powerful offensive capabilities, setting the stage for an exciting matchup. The Game Total is set at an average 8.0 runs, hinting at a competitive encounter.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Logan Webb – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Logan Webb has compiled an 8.7% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile.
  Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Typically, bats like Wilmer Flores who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tyler Anderson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
  Tyler Anderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #6 HR venue among all parks today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Logan O’Hoppe has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 22.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
  Mike Trout projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 63% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Moneyline (-155)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+165/-220)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)