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Score Updates for Phillies vs Royals – 8/24/24

Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

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Kansas City Royals

-110O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)
-110

As the Kansas City Royals prepare to host the Philadelphia Phillies on August 24, 2024, both teams are in solid positions in their respective divisions. The Royals sit with a record of 72-56, while the Phillies are slightly ahead at 74-54. This matchup is particularly interesting as it follows the Royals’ 7-4 victory over the Phillies just the day prior, showcasing their competitive spirit and ability to capitalize on opportunities.

Projected starting pitchers Brady Singer and Ranger Suarez bring different strengths to the mound. Singer, ranked 58th among MLB starters, has had a solid season with a 3.18 ERA, though advanced metrics suggest he’s been somewhat fortunate, as his expected metrics indicate potential struggles ahead. In contrast, Suarez, who ranks 34th, boasts an impressive 2.87 ERA. His low walk rate of 5.6% suggests he can effectively challenge hitters, which could be crucial against a Royals offense that ranks 12th overall in MLB.

The projections favor the Phillies, with a high implied team total of 4.81 runs compared to the Royals’ 4.69. However, the Royals’ offense has been dynamic recently, especially with Bobby Witt Jr. leading the charge, having recorded 110 runs and 25 home runs this season. This is particularly encouraging as they face a Phillies team that has shown vulnerabilities against high-groundball pitchers like Singer.

With both teams vying for a crucial series victory, expect the intensity to be palpable at Kauffman Stadium, setting the stage for another compelling chapter in this interleague matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-110)
    The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team today.
    Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
  • Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-110)
    The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.
    Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Kansas City Royals Insights

  • Kansas City’s 89.5-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball: #4 overall.
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

  • Kansas City Royals – Run Line +1.5 (-165)
    The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 73 of their last 127 games (+11.79 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
    The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+150/-195)
    Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+24.25 Units / 49% ROI)
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