Score Prediction and Insights for Athletics vs Yankees Match – June 28, 2025

Athletics

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New York Yankees

The New York Yankees will host the Oakland Athletics on June 28, 2025, in the second game of their series. The Yankees are currently enjoying a strong season with a record of 47-34, ranking 2nd in the American League. In contrast, the Athletics are struggling at 33-51, sitting well below .500. In their last matchup on June 27, the Yankees secured a 3-0 victory, continuing their momentum as they aim to solidify their playoff positioning.

On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start Clarke Schmidt, who has had an impressive season with a 2.84 ERA and a solid Win/Loss record of 4-3 over 12 starts. Schmidt’s last outing was particularly noteworthy, as he pitched a remarkable 7-inning no-hitter on June 21. His ability to strike out 6.3 batters per game and limit earned runs will be critical against an Athletics lineup that ranks as the 12th best in MLB offensively but has struggled to find consistency.

In contrast, Oakland will send JP Sears to the hill. Sears has had a rough season with a 5.44 ERA and a Win/Loss record of 5-7 across 16 starts. His tendency to allow 3.3 earned runs on average could be problematic, especially against a Yankees offense that ranks 2nd in the league in runs scored and home runs. The Yankees are expected to capitalize on Sears’s high flyball rate, which could translate into extra runs.

With the Yankees being significant favorites with a moneyline of -255, they are projected to score around 5.79 runs, while the Athletics are expected to struggle with an implied total of just 3.71 runs. As the Yankees look to extend their winning streak, they will aim to exploit the weaknesses of Sears and continue their dominance at Yankee Stadium.

Athletics Insights

• JP Sears – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  JP Sears has relied on his slider 6.3% more often this year (40.1%) than he did last year (33.8%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Today, Luis Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (96th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-290)
  The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  DJ LeMahieu has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Clarke Schmidt – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+18.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.07 Units / 10% ROI)
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-205/+160)
  Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)