Review Player Predictions Overview for Tigers vs Guardians – Thursday October 2, 2025

Detroit Tigers

@

Cleveland Guardians

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Jack Flaherty’s 92.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1-mph decline from last season’s 93.3-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Detroit Tigers with a 24.5% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 10.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Slade Cecconi is projected to throw 76 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Brayan Rocchio – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Brayan Rocchio has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best out of all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-130)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 135 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+165/-220)
  Spencer Torkelson has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 57% ROI)