Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
(-120/+100)-150
As the Minnesota Twins prepare to face off against the Cincinnati Reds on September 14, 2024, the stakes are high for the Twins, who currently sit with a record of 78-69, positioning themselves well above average this season. The Reds, on the other hand, are struggling with a record of 72-77, reflecting a below-average performance. The Twins aim to build on their recent momentum after winning the first game of this series.
Projected starters Simeon Woods Richardson and Nick Martinez will take the mound for their respective teams. Woods Richardson, while ranked as the 174th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, has had a decent ERA of 3.96. However, his xFIP of 4.59 suggests he may have been fortunate this season. He projects to pitch only 4.7 innings, allowing 2.5 earned runs and striking out 4.0 batters, which could be a concern for the Twins. Meanwhile, Nick Martinez presents a more consistent option for the Reds, boasting a solid 3.46 ERA and a projection of 5.0 innings pitched.
Offensively, the Twins rank 8th in MLB, showcasing their ability to score runs effectively, while the Reds sit at 20th. This discrepancy in offensive firepower could play a crucial role in the outcome of the game. The Twins’ best hitter over the last week has been Kyle Farmer, who has been particularly hot, recording a .500 batting average with 5 hits and 2 home runs in just 4 games.
With a game total set at 8.5 runs, the projections suggest a close matchup, yet the Twins are favored with an implied team total of 4.62 runs. Given the strength of the Twins’ offense and the struggles of the Reds, they appear poised to secure another victory in this series.
Betting Trends
- Nick Martinez – Over/Under 3.5 Earned Runs (+125/-160)Nick Martinez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.50 Units / 62% ROI)