Review Betting Odds and Picks for Mets vs Angels – Saturday, August 3, 2024

New York Mets

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels host the New York Mets on August 3, 2024, both teams enter this matchup with contrasting fortunes. The Angels, sitting at 47-62, are enduring a tough season, while the Mets, with a 57-51 record, are performing above average. The Angels are projected to start Jose Soriano, who has had a solid year with a 3.69 ERA, ranking him as the 73rd best starting pitcher in MLB. However, his 4.32 xERA suggests he has been somewhat fortunate, indicating potential struggles ahead.

In their last game, the Angels faced a tough opponent, while the Mets are coming off a strong performance. Jose Soriano’s high groundball rate (59 GB%) could work to his advantage against a powerful Mets offense that has hit 132 home runs this season, ranking 4th in MLB. However, the Angels’ offense ranks just 24th, which may hinder their ability to capitalize on Soriano’s efforts.

On the other side, David Peterson is set to take the mound for the Mets. Despite a respectable 3.52 ERA, his 4.55 xFIP indicates he may also be due for regression. Peterson has been inconsistent, projecting to pitch only 5.0 innings with a higher earned run average of 2.7.

The Angels are projected to score 4.29 runs, while the Mets have a slightly higher projected total of 4.71 runs. Given the Angels’ struggles this season and their lackluster offensive rankings, they will need a standout performance from Soriano to keep pace with the Mets, who are looking to capitalize on their strong offensive numbers and continue their push for a successful season.

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Mets bullpen grades out as the 9th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-150)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• New York Mets – Moneyline (-130)
  The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+125/-160)
  Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 39% ROI)