Read the Prediction and Game Breakdown for Yankees vs Mariners Match Wednesday, April 1st, 2026

New York Yankees

@

Seattle Mariners

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Among all starters, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.4 mph is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Aaron Judge’s 25.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Ryan McMahon).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Seattle Mariners Insights

• George Kirby – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Tallying 93 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season on average, George Kirby ranks in the 85th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 92 of their last 164 games (+18.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+21.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-130/+100)
  Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)