Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
(-110/-110)-145
As the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays prepare for their matchup on September 14, 2024, the stakes remain significant, especially for the Guardians, who currently hold a solid 84-64 record and are in contention for a playoff spot. In contrast, the Rays sit at 73-75 and have struggled throughout the season. Both teams faced off just yesterday, with the Rays emerging victorious in a 3-1 contest, marking a crucial win for the underdogs.
Cleveland is set to start Joey Cantillo, a left-handed pitcher who has had a tumultuous season with a 1-3 record and a troubling ERA of 5.96. However, his 3.93 xFIP suggests that he may have been somewhat unlucky, indicating potential for improvement. Cantillo’s last outing was impressive, as he pitched 7 innings, allowing just 1 earned run while striking out 10 batters. On the other hand, Drew Rasmussen of the Rays has been sharp this season, boasting a stellar ERA of 2.79, though he has struggled with consistency, holding a 0-1 record.
The Guardians’ offense ranks 17th in MLB, and while they have shown flashes of power, their batting average sits at a disappointing 22nd. In contrast, the Rays’ offense has been even less effective, ranking 27th overall. Given these trends, the Guardians’ projected win probability of 56% aligns with their status as betting favorites, with a moneyline of -140. The projections indicate that the Guardians are likely to score around 4.46 runs, compared to the Rays’ 4.13.
As the Guardians look to bounce back from yesterday’s loss, they will rely on their strong bullpen, which ranks 4th in MLB, to support Cantillo in what could be a pivotal game in their pursuit of postseason contention.
Betting Trends
- Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 61% ROI)