Player Trends for Mets vs Rockies – Saturday, June 7th, 2025

New York Mets

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Colorado Rockies

The New York Mets visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies on June 7, 2025, in a matchup that highlights the stark contrast in team performance this season. The Rockies currently sit at the bottom of the National League with a dismal 12-51 record, while the Mets are thriving with a solid 40-24 mark, showcasing why they are favored in this contest.

In their previous game, the Mets showcased their offensive prowess, dominating the Rockies 9-3, which only adds to the Rockies’ struggles this season. With Carson Palmquist projected to start for Colorado, the Rockies are hoping for a turnaround from their struggling left-handed pitcher. Palmquist holds an 0-4 record with an ERA of 8.50, ranking him as the 252nd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. His high walk rate (11.5 BB%) could be a cause for concern against a Mets offense that ranks 3rd in the league in drawing walks.

On the other side, New York will counter with Clay Holmes, who has had a strong season with a 3.07 ERA and a 6-3 record. Holmes is projected to pitch 5.4 innings today and has been effective at limiting damage, despite a high groundball rate of 56%. This matchup could favor Holmes, especially against a Rockies offense that ranks 30th in MLB in several key categories, including team batting average and home runs.

The projections suggest that the Mets should continue their offensive onslaught, with an implied team total of 6.80 runs for this game, compared to the Rockies’ average of 4.20 runs. Given the recent trends and the statistical edge, the Mets are positioned to capitalize on their current form and extend their winning streak against a struggling Rockies team.

New York Mets Insights

• Clay Holmes – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Clay Holmes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 7 opposing bats in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Tyrone Taylor – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Mets’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Hunter Goodman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 102-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to score the 4th-most runs (5.28 on average) on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-135/+105)
  Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.40 Units / 50% ROI)