Player Trends for Mariners vs Yankees – Wednesday, July 9th, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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New York Yankees

On July 9, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Seattle Mariners for the second game of their series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees currently sit at 50-41, enjoying an above-average season, while the Mariners are just behind at 48-43, also above average. The Yankees are coming off a strong performance, having won their last game, which adds to the momentum they are looking to carry into this matchup.

New York’s offense ranks as the 2nd best in MLB, showcasing their power with a league-leading number of home runs. They will face Mariners pitcher Logan Evans, who, despite a solid ERA of 2.96, is projected to struggle against a high-strikeout Yankees lineup, as he has a low strikeout rate of 17.4%. Evans’ xFIP of 4.34 suggests he has been somewhat fortunate this season, indicating potential regression.

On the mound for the Yankees, Cam Schlitter is projected to pitch 5.0 innings, allowing an average of 2.6 earned runs. Though his Power Ranking sits at 146th among starting pitchers, the Yankees’ powerful offense could exploit Evans’ weaknesses. The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -145, implying a strong chance of victory, particularly given their elite offensive capabilities.

The Mariners, while boasting a respectable 12th best offense, will need to find a way to overcome their struggles against the Yankees’ potent lineup. With a Game Total set at 9.5 runs, this matchup promises to be an exciting contest, especially for bettors looking to capitalize on the Yankees’ current form and offensive prowess.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Evans – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Out of all starters, Logan Evans’s fastball velocity of 86.6 mph grades out in the 1st percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  The Seattle Mariners bullpen grades out as the 7th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-160)
  Cameron Schlittler is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #6 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Giancarlo Stanton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Giancarlo Stanton has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans is a pitch-to-contact type (15th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-130/+100)
  Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 53% ROI)