Player Stats for Tigers vs White Sox – August 13th, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on August 13, 2025, they find themselves in a tough spot with a record of 44-76, making it a challenging season overall. In contrast, the Tigers are enjoying a strong campaign at 69-52 and are looking to capitalize on their momentum after losing to the White Sox in their last meeting by a score of 9-6.

This matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Shane Smith for the White Sox and Troy Melton for the Tigers. Smith, ranked as the 138th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, has struggled this season with a 3-7 record and a 4.22 ERA. His recent performance, however, showed promise as he pitched 5 innings with only 2 earned runs, 8 strikeouts, and 4 hits in his last outing on August 7. Despite this, Smith’s projections suggest he will allow 2.6 earned runs and 4.8 hits today, indicating potential vulnerabilities.

On the other hand, Melton, despite being considered a bad pitcher by MLB standards, boasts a decent 2-1 record with a 3.63 ERA. He pitched well in his last start on July 28, going 7 innings with no earned runs. However, his 4.32 FIP suggests he may have been a bit lucky this season, and the projections indicate he could allow 2.4 earned runs and 4.5 hits today.

The Tigers’ offense ranks 9th in MLB, showcasing their ability to score runs, while the White Sox’s offense sits at a dismal 29th. This stark contrast could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the game. With a Game Total set at an average 8.0 runs, the Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -140, while the White Sox, despite their recent win, are underdogs at +120 with a low implied team total of 3.73 runs. The White Sox will need to find a way to overcome their offensive struggles if they hope to continue their winning streak against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Troy Melton – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Troy Melton to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Riley Greene – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Riley Greene has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 98.6-mph over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Detroit Tigers bats collectively rank 7th- in the game for power this year when using their 9.8% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Shane Smith – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Smith in the 77th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colson Montgomery has had some very good luck given the .073 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Curtis Mead – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Curtis Mead has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-140)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 96 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+110/-140)
  Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)