Player Stats for Athletics vs White Sox – September 13th, 2024

Oakland Athletics

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to face the Oakland Athletics on September 13, 2024, at Guaranteed Rate Field, both teams are looking to turn around disappointing seasons. The White Sox sit at a dismal 33-114, while the Athletics have struggled with a 64-83 record. This matchup marks the first game in their series and comes on the heels of the White Sox’s last outing, where they fell to the Cleveland Guardians by a score of 6-4.

Garrett Crochet, projected to start for the White Sox, is seen as an elite pitcher despite his 6-11 record and 3.83 ERA this season. The advanced-stat Power Rankings place him as the 3rd best starting pitcher in MLB, a strong indicator of his potential to outshine Oakland’s Brady Basso, who has only made one start this year with a stellar 1.93 ERA. While Basso’s ERA is impressive, the projections suggest he may have been a bit lucky, and the Athletics’ offense, while average overall, can be vulnerable given their high strikeout rate, ranking 5th in the league.

The White Sox’s offense, however, has struggled mightily, ranking 30th in MLB overall. With Andrew Vaughn as their best hitter, they are not generating the power needed to capitalize on Crochet’s potential. On the other hand, the Athletics boast Brent Rooker, who has been a standout with 36 home runs and a .951 OPS this season.

With a game total set at a low 7.5 runs, the projections lean slightly in favor of the White Sox, suggesting they could score around 3.96 runs compared to the Athletics’ 4.08. Despite the betting markets favoring Oakland, the White Sox might present value as they look to capitalize on their elite pitcher’s matchup against a strikeout-prone offense.

Oakland Athletics Insights

• Oakland Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  In his last GS, Brady Basso was in good form and conceded 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Tyler Nevin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-115/-115)
  Tyler Nevin is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Oakland Athletics have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Lawrence Butler, Zack Gelof, Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Garrett Crochet to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Korey Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)
  Korey Lee’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 80.8-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen projects as the worst in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• Oakland Athletics – Moneyline (-135)
  The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games (+12.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Max Schuemann – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-115/-115)
  Max Schuemann has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)