New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
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On September 14, 2024, the Philadelphia Phillies will host the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park in a crucial National League East matchup. The Phillies currently hold a strong record of 88-59, while the Mets are not far behind at 81-66. With both teams having solid seasons, this game carries significant weight in the playoff race.
In their last outing, the Phillies faced off against the Mets, securing a win that showcased their potent offense, which ranks 4th in MLB. The Phillies’ lineup has been firing on all cylinders, and Kyle Schwarber has emerged as a key contributor, leading the team with a .333 batting average over the last week. Meanwhile, the Mets, who have a respectable offensive ranking of 11th in the league, will rely on Harrison Bader, who has also been productive recently.
On the mound, the Phillies are projected to start Kolby Allard, who has had a mixed season with a 2-0 record and a solid ERA of 3.50. However, his underlying metrics suggest he has been somewhat lucky, as evidenced by his 5.68 FIP, indicating potential struggles ahead. In contrast, the Mets will counter with Luis Severino, who boasts a decent ERA of 3.74 and has proven to be a reliable arm, having started 28 games this year.
According to the leading MLB projection system, the projections favor the Mets slightly, expecting them to score an average of 5.41 runs compared to the Phillies’ 4.90. With a high game total set at 9.0 runs, bettors should anticipate an offensive showcase. Given the Phillies’ recent form and their strong home performance, they could prove to be a valuable pick as they look to extend their winning streak against a competitive Mets team.