Player Props Preview for D-Backs vs Rockies – 8/14/25

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Colorado Rockies

As the Arizona Diamondbacks visit Coors Field on August 14, 2025, they face off against the Colorado Rockies in the first game of their series. The stakes might not be high in terms of playoff contention, but the Diamondbacks are looking to build on their average season, currently sitting at 59-62. Meanwhile, the Rockies are struggling with a disappointing record of 32-88.

In their last outing, the Rockies’ Bradley Blalock took the mound, but he couldn’t find his groove and ended up with another loss, bringing his record to 1-3 with a dismal ERA of 7.89. The projections suggest he will pitch around 4.5 innings today, allowing 3.5 earned runs and giving up 6.1 hits on average. His struggles are compounded by the Rockies’ offense, which ranks 26th in MLB and has been lackluster all season.

On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are expected to start Eduardo Rodriguez, who holds an average ERA of 5.68 and a 4.42 xFIP, projecting him to last about 5.1 innings while giving up 3.6 earned runs. While he is not having a standout season, Rodriguez’s recent performances have been steadier compared to Blalock’s struggles.

The Diamondbacks’ offense is significantly more potent, ranking 4th overall in MLB and boasting a stellar 0.421 batting average from their best hitter over the past week. This suggests that they could capitalize on the Rockies’ poor pitching and defense. With a current moneyline of -175, the Diamondbacks are favored, and their implied team total of 6.76 runs reflects this expectation. The Rockies, meanwhile, sit at +150 with an implied total of 5.24 runs, which indicates they will need to outperform their season-long struggles to have a chance in this matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-175)
  Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jake McCarthy – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jake McCarthy may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks project to score the most runs on the slate, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Bradley Blalock – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bradley Blalock is projected to throw 79 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance this year. His .358 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Compared to their .319 overall projected rate, the .303 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 68 of their last 120 games (+9.40 Units / 6% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-170)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 87 games (+14.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (-150/+115)
  Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 67% ROI)