
Athletics

Los Angeles Angels
(-110/-110)-150
As the Los Angeles Angels host the Oakland Athletics at Angel Stadium on June 11, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in this American League West matchup. The Angels are currently sitting at 32-34, struggling to find their rhythm this season. Meanwhile, the Athletics, with a record of 26-43, are having a dismal year as they continue to search for answers.
In their last encounter on June 10, the Angels edged out the Athletics with a narrow 2-1 victory, showcasing a modicum of offensive success despite their overall struggles. The Angels’ offense ranks 22nd in MLB, but they possess considerable power, sitting 4th in home runs with 95 this season. This power could be pivotal today against Athletics’ starter JP Sears, who has been inconsistent and carries a poor 5.21 ERA this year.
Kyle Hendricks, projected to start for the Angels, has also had a rough season, with a 5.40 ERA and a 3-6 record. However, he has shown signs that he might turn things around, as indicated by his lower 4.87 SIERA. He projects to pitch an average of 5.6 innings, allowing around 3.0 earned runs today, which could be enough if the Angels can capitalize on their power against Sears.
The projections favor the Angels with a high implied team total of 5.17 runs, reflecting their potential to outscore the Athletics, who have a lower implied total of 4.33 runs. With both teams in need of a win, this game carries significant weight for their respective seasons. The Angels must leverage their offensive strengths to maintain their edge over the Athletics, who are also looking to break out of their slump.
Athletics Insights
- JP Sears – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Among all SPs, JP Sears’s fastball spin rate of 2020 rpm grades out in the 2nd percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Typically, batters like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Hendricks.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen ranks as the 7th-worst among all the teams in MLB.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)Kyle Hendricks is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue among all parks today.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Jo Adell has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher JP Sears is a pitch-to-contact type (21st percentile K%) — great news for Adell.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Mike Trout projects as the 11th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-150)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)