Player Props for Rays vs Athletics – Wednesday August 13, 2025

Tampa Bay Rays

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Athletics

The Oakland Athletics will host the Tampa Bay Rays on August 13, 2025, at Sutter Health Park in what is shaping up to be an intriguing matchup. The Athletics, despite their struggles this season with a record of 54-68, recently found some momentum, winning their last game 6-0 against the Rays, who now sit at 58-63 and are also having a below-average season.

Both teams are looking to find consistency, but the pitching matchup heavily favors the Rays. Drew Rasmussen, ranked 14th among MLB starting pitchers, has been exceptional with a 2.66 ERA this season. His last outing was particularly impressive, as he pitched six innings without allowing a run. On the other hand, J.T. Ginn, who is projected to start for the Athletics, has had a rocky season, with a 4.39 ERA and a 2-4 record. Although he has shown flashes of potential, his recent performance included three earned runs in five innings, which points to a need for improvement.

Offensively, the Athletics rank as the 7th best in MLB, showcasing a powerful lineup that has the potential to capitalize on Rasmussen’s mistakes. Their best hitter has been on fire lately, batting .400 over the past week with a 1.133 OPS. Meanwhile, the Rays have a solid offense as well, ranking 14th in MLB, but they have struggled to find their rhythm after the recent loss.

As the Athletics are currently underdogs with a moneyline of +115, the projections suggest they could still put up a fight against the Rays, who are favored at -140. With a Game Total of 9.5 runs, expect a competitive game where the Athletics will aim to leverage their offensive strengths against a strong pitcher in Rasmussen.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Drew Rasmussen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Drew Rasmussen has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.5% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Ha-Seong Kim – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Ha-seong Kim has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Tampa Bay Rays – 2H Moneyline
  The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen ranks as the 2nd-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)
  J.T. Ginn turned in a great performance in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Lawrence Butler has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 76.3-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Lawrence Butler has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-135)
  The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 121 games (+13.80 Units / 10% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-115/-115)
  Chandler Simpson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)