Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
(-105/-115)-140
The Los Angeles Angels will host the Colorado Rockies on July 31, 2024, in the second game of their interleague series at Angel Stadium. Both teams are enduring tough seasons, with the Angels holding a 46-60 record and the Rockies languishing at 38-69. This matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Jack Kochanowicz for the Angels and Cal Quantrill for the Rockies.
Kochanowicz will look to add to his development against a Rockies offense that ranks 12th in team batting average and 10th in home runs this season. Despite these respectable offensive numbers, Colorado’s overall record suggests they struggle to convert these stats into wins. On the flip side, Quantrill faces an Angels lineup that has underperformed this season, ranking 22nd in batting average and 20th in home runs. However, the Angels do excel in stolen bases, ranking 7th in MLB.
Recent performances highlight Nolan Schanuel as a key player for the Angels. Over the last week, Schanuel has been on fire, boasting a .438 batting average with 2 home runs, 7 runs, and 4 RBIs over six games, contributing to a stellar 1.453 OPS. For the Rockies, Michael Toglia has been their standout hitter, posting a .381 batting average with 2 home runs, 6 runs, and 4 RBIs, resulting in a 1.197 OPS over his last six games.
THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, might give the Angels a slight edge due to their superior speed on the bases and the hot streak of Schanuel. However, with both teams struggling mightily this season, this game could be a toss-up, making it an intriguing matchup for sports bettors looking for value.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170/+135)Kyle Freeland projects to strikeout 4 bats today, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Elias Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Elias Diaz is penciled in 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)Today, Ryan McMahon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.1% rate (94th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)Nolan Schanuel is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game since none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- The Los Angeles Angels (20.6 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Run Line -1.5 (+150)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Michael Toglia – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+380/-580)Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 39 games (+33.00 Units / 85% ROI)