Player Props Analysis for Mariners vs Blue Jays - Sunday October 12th, 2025

+140O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-165

Bryce Miller – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Bryce Miller’s slider usage has decreased by 5% from last year to this one (16.9% to 11.9%) .
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Toronto’s #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Eugenio Suarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-165)
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams playing today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Anthony Santander – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-165)
The weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-165)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 97 of their last 165 games (+21.59 Units / 10% ROI)
Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 157 games (+15.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Jorge Polanco – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+560/-1000)
Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.90 Units / 149% ROI)

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