Player Prop Odds for Tigers vs Dodgers – Friday March 28, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Detroit Tigers meet for the second game of their interleague series at Dodger Stadium on March 28, 2025. The Dodgers continue to dominate early in the season, boasting a perfect 3-0 record, while the Tigers are struggling with a 0-1 start. In their last game, the Dodgers showcased their offensive prowess, solidifying their status as a top contender.

On the mound for the Dodgers is Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has quickly established himself as an elite pitcher. Ranking as the 11th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, Yamamoto has started one game this year with a 1-0 record and a stellar 1.80 ERA. His projections indicate he will average 5.2 innings pitched, allowing just 1.8 earned runs, while striking out about six batters. However, he must improve on allowing 4.3 hits and 1.2 walks on average to avoid trouble against even a struggling lineup.

Jack Flaherty counters for the Tigers, ranking 59th among starting pitchers. Flaherty’s projections aren’t encouraging, as he’s expected to pitch only 5.0 innings while allowing 2.5 earned runs and striking out 5.6 batters. Both pitchers are right-handed, but there’s a stark contrast in recent performance and rankings, with Yamamoto in the elite category and Flaherty considered good at best.

The Dodgers’ offense, ranked 2nd overall and 4th in batting average, is expected to capitalize on the Tigers’ pitching struggles. Meanwhile, the Tigers sit at a dismal 25th in offense, and with a low team total projection of 3.15 runs, they face an uphill battle. Given the teams’ current trajectories, expect the Dodgers to maintain their early dominance in this matchup.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Kerry Carpenter – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Kerry Carpenter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Detroit Tigers have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trey Sweeney, Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson, Ryan Kreidler).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Yoshinobu Yamamoto to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 4th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 97 games (+28.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Run Line +1.5 (-110)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 57 of their last 91 games (+19.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+160/-210)
  Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 81% ROI)