Player Prop Odds Breakdown for Reds vs Athletics – September 12, 2025

Cincinnati Reds

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Athletics

As the Oakland Athletics prepare to host the Cincinnati Reds at Sutter Health Park on September 12, 2025, both teams come into this Interleague matchup off intriguing performances. The Athletics have shown resilience, winning their last game against the Reds by a narrow 5-4 margin, while the Reds are coming off a hard-fought 2-1 victory over another opponent.

Currently, the Athletics sit at 67-80, a disappointing season overall, yet their offense ranks as the 7th best in MLB, highlighting their potential to score runs. They also boast the 4th best team batting average and home run tally, suggesting they have the firepower to compete. However, their struggles with base running, ranking 27th in stolen bases, have hindered their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

On the mound, the Athletics are projected to start J.T. Ginn, who has had an up-and-down season with a 3-6 record and an ERA of 4.95. Despite some inconsistencies, Ginn’s xFIP of 3.22 indicates he has been somewhat unlucky, and he projects to pitch just over five innings today, allowing around 2.4 earned runs. In contrast, the Reds will send out Brady Singer, a solid pitcher this year with a 13-9 record and a 3.98 ERA. Singer’s track record suggests he will likely deliver a reliable performance.

Both teams’ bullpens tell contrasting stories; the Athletics rank 30th in Power Rankings for relief pitching, while the Reds are 12th. This disparity could prove critical if the game remains tight late into the innings.

With a high game total of 10.5 runs projected, it could turn into a slugfest. Bettors are keenly eyeing the Athletics’ moneyline at -120, which reflects a fairly balanced expectation. Ultimately, the strengths of Oakland’s lineup and the potential for Ginn to outperform his season stats make this matchup one to watch closely.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Brady Singer’s slider rate has decreased by 6.9% from last season to this one (45.5% to 38.6%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Ke’Bryan Hayes’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 80.1-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – Moneyline (-120)
  The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Despite posting a .425 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has been very fortunate given the .073 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen grades out as the worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Run Line -1.0 (+115)
  The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 49 of their last 83 games (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 110 games (+24.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)
  Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)