Player Prop Bets for Reds vs Tigers – June 14th, 2025

Cincinnati Reds

@

Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers host the Cincinnati Reds on June 14, 2025, in a pivotal Interleague matchup at Comerica Park. The Tigers, boasting a record of 46-25, are riding high this season and currently rank 1st in MLB in bullpen performance according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Meanwhile, the Reds sit at a .500 record of 35-35, reflecting an average season overall.

In their last meeting, the Tigers showcased their dominance with a strong performance, further solidifying their status as serious contenders. Tonight, the Tigers are projected to start Jack Flaherty, who has been a solid contributor with a 3.41 ERA this year, ranking him as the 55th best starting pitcher in MLB. Flaherty’s strikeout ability (29.7 K%) could be key against a Reds offense that struggles with strikeouts, ranking 6th in MLB.

On the other side, Brady Singer takes the mound for the Reds. Despite a respectable 6-4 record this season, Singer’s 4.59 ERA places him in a less favorable light compared to Flaherty. Additionally, the projections suggest that Singer will allow an average of 2.7 earned runs and 5.5 hits, which could spell trouble against a Tigers offense that ranks 9th in overall production.

With the Tigers holding a significant advantage in both pitching and hitting, they are favored heavily with a moneyline of -170, reflecting a strong implied win probability of 61%. The Tigers’ offense, while 12th in batting average, excels in power, ranking 10th in home runs. This provides them with the tools to capitalize on any mistakes made by Singer.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Among all starting pitchers, Brady Singer’s fastball velocity of 91.6 mph ranks in the 20th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Matt McLain is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Reds’s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)
  Jack Flaherty is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #23 HR venue in MLB in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Kerry Carpenter – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Kerry Carpenter’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 91-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.8-mph in the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 64 games (+13.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-170)
  Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)