Player Prop Bets for Guardians vs White Sox – August 10th, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians on August 10, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting situations. The White Sox, with a record of 42-75, are having a dismal season and rank 29th in MLB offensive production. Meanwhile, the Guardians sit at 61-55, enjoying an above-average season despite their offense ranking 27th in the league.

In their previous matchup, the Guardians edged out the White Sox, further solidifying their dominance in this series. Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi, projected to start, brings a respectable 3.72 ERA into this game, although his 5.21 xERA suggests he may have been a bit fortunate thus far. On the other hand, Chicago’s Davis Martin, with a Win/Loss record of 3-9 and an ERA of 4.11, has struggled, particularly when projecting an average of 2.9 earned runs over 5.1 innings pitched today.

The White Sox’s offensive woes are compounded by Martin’s subpar strikeout rates and high projected hits allowed. Their best hitter has shown some life recently, boasting a .400 batting average over the last week, but the overall team performance remains lackluster. In contrast, the Guardians’ best hitter has also been productive, contributing to their slightly better offensive output.

With the Guardians favored at -140, the projections indicate they will likely outscore the White Sox, who have an implied team total of 3.96 runs. This matchup presents an opportunity for Cleveland to capitalize on Chicago’s struggles, making it a game to watch for bettors looking to back the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-190/+145)
  Tallying 17.6 outs per outing this year on average, Slade Cecconi falls in the 88th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Daniel Schneemann – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Davis Martin’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (40.7 vs. 28.3% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Colson Montgomery has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 94.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert Jr., Colson Montgomery, Kyle Teel).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-130)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Run Line -1.5 (+115)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+120/-155)
  Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)