Live Stream for White Sox vs Orioles Game – Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Chicago White Sox

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Baltimore Orioles

As the Baltimore Orioles prepare to host the Chicago White Sox on September 4, 2024, they enter the game after a dominant 9-0 victory over the White Sox just a day prior. The Orioles, boasting an impressive record of 81-59, currently sit in strong contention with their 4th ranked offense, which leads MLB in home runs this season. In stark contrast, the White Sox are struggling mightily with a 31-109 record, ranking dead last in MLB.

On the mound, the Orioles will send Albert Suarez to face Chicago’s Jonathan Cannon. Suarez, despite having the 237th best ranking among MLB starters, holds a solid 3.14 ERA this season. His last outing saw him pitch 7 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs. However, his xFIP of 4.52 suggests he may not sustain his current success. Meanwhile, Cannon has had a rough season, with a 4.70 ERA and a record of 2-9. In his last start, he struggled significantly, yielding 4 earned runs in only 5 innings.

The projections favor the Orioles heavily, estimating they will score around 5.56 runs, while the White Sox are projected for just 3.89 runs. This aligns well with the betting market, which has the Orioles as significant favorites with a moneyline of -380, implying a strong likelihood of victory. With power hitters like Gunnar Henderson leading the way, the Orioles have the tools to capitalize on Cannon’s weaknesses.

Given the stark differences in offensive performance and the recent results, this matchup looks to heavily favor the Orioles, who are eager to continue their winning ways against a faltering White Sox squad.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Jonathan Cannon – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  The Baltimore Orioles have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Nicky Lopez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Nicky Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the worst in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-300)
  In his last game started, Albert Suarez turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Cedric Mullins II has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 78.8-mph in the last two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Anthony Santander – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Run Line -1.5 (-175)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 70 of their last 128 games (+18.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 57 away games (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• Lenyn Sosa – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+200/-265)
  Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)