Latest Player Stats for Tigers vs Phillies – Saturday August 2, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Detroit Tigers on August 2, 2025, in an intriguing interleague matchup at Citizens Bank Park. Both teams are enjoying strong seasons, with the Tigers sporting a record of 64-47, while the Phillies stand at 62-47. This game marks the second in the series, with the Tigers having narrowly defeated the Phillies in the opener.

Zack Wheeler, projected to start for Philadelphia, is having an excellent season with a 9-4 record and a stellar 2.56 ERA. He’s been particularly effective against high-strikeout offenses like the Tigers, who rank 5th in MLB in strikeouts. Wheeler’s 33.3% strikeout rate adds to his advantage, but he does have some concerning projections for today, including allowing an average of 4.7 hits and 1.4 walks.

Meanwhile, Tarik Skubal represents a significant challenge for the Phillies. Skubal has been dominant this season with a 10-3 record and an impressive 2.09 ERA, earning him the distinction of being the 1st best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. His projections are equally strong; he’s expected to allow 2.0 earned runs and strike out 7.3 batters on average, although he too struggles with allowing 5.0 hits.

Offensively, the Phillies rank 8th overall in MLB, bolstered by their 5th place in team batting average. The Tigers, while ranking 9th in overall offensive strength, fall to 30th in stolen bases, indicating a lack of speed on the base paths. With the Game Total set at a very low 6.5 runs, expectations are for a tightly contested battle, and both teams have a low implied team total of 3.25 runs. Bettors may find value in the Phillies, who have the potential to outperform their odds today, especially with Wheeler on the mound.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Tarik Skubal’s fastball spin rate has increased 108 rpm this season (2334 rpm) over where it was last season (2226 rpm).
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson, Riley Greene).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
  Compared to average, Zack Wheeler has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an extra 9.0 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.76 Units / 17% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 85 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)