Latest Player Stats for Mariners vs Orioles – Wednesday August 13, 2025

Seattle Mariners

@

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles will host the Seattle Mariners on August 13, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Mariners, currently holding a solid record of 67-53, are in a much better position than the struggling Orioles, who sit at 53-66 this season. In their last game, the Mariners managed to secure a victory against the Orioles, adding to the latter’s woes this season.

On the mound, the Orioles are projected to start Trevor Rogers, a left-handed pitcher who has had an impressive ERA of 1.44 this year. However, advanced metrics suggest he may be riding a wave of good fortune, as his xFIP stands at 3.65, indicating a potential for regression. Rogers has been a high-groundball pitcher this year, which could be crucial against the Mariners’ power-hitting lineup, currently ranked 4th in MLB with 171 home runs.

Logan Gilbert will take the hill for the Mariners. The right-hander has a solid ERA of 3.35 but is projected to perform even better given his lower xFIP of 2.53. Gilbert has struggled with consistency, evidenced by his 3-4 record over 16 starts, but he boasts a good strikeout rate, projecting to fan 6.6 batters on average today.

Offensively, the Orioles rank 21st in MLB, while the Mariners find themselves ranked 12th. The Mariners’ recent offensive production has been bolstered by their best hitter, who has been on fire with a .400 batting average and 1.404 OPS over the last week. Meanwhile, the Orioles’ best hitter has managed a respectable .313 average but lacks the same level of impact.

With the Mariners favored in this matchup, the odds favor them to capitalize on their current form and the Orioles’ struggles. However, Rogers’ ability to generate ground balls may level the playing field, making this game worth watching for both fans and bettors alike.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Logan Gilbert’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.8-mph fall off from last year’s 96.6-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Cal Raleigh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  In today’s matchup, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.7% rate (100th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Tallying 18.7 outs per start this year on average, Trevor Rogers falls in the 96th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Ryan Mountcastle – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  In terms of his home runs, Ryan Mountcastle has suffered from bad luck this year. His 8.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.7.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 113 games (+14.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-145)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Dylan Carlson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)