Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
(-110/-110)-130
On June 10, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles will host the Detroit Tigers at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in an exciting American League matchup. The Orioles, currently struggling with a 26-38 record, are facing an uphill battle against a Tigers team that boasts a strong 43-24 record this season. Baltimore is coming off a tough loss to Detroit, where they fell 5-1, while the Tigers recently secured a solid 4-0 victory.
The matchup features two left-handed pitchers: Cade Povich for the Orioles and Brant Hurter for the Tigers. Povich has had a challenging season, with a 1-4 record and a mediocre ERA of 5.11. Despite his below-average ranking as the 146th best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball, projections suggest he may improve, having pitched well in his last outing, allowing only 2 earned runs over 5 innings.
On the other hand, Brant Hurter’s performance has been more erratic, projecting to pitch just 2.5 innings today with a 1.0 earned run average. His last start was abbreviated, going only 3 innings but managing to keep his opponents scoreless. This could be a pivotal factor, as the Tigers’ offense ranks 8th best in MLB, while the Orioles sit at 20th.
Baltimore’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 22nd in batting average, which could play into Hurter’s hands. Conversely, Detroit has been hitting well, and their projections indicate they could put up a decent number of runs today. With a game total set at 9.0 runs, betting markets anticipate a competitive matchup, especially considering the Orioles have a high implied team total of 4.76 runs.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Jahmai Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)Jahmai Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Parker Meadows – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Jackson Holliday’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.9-mph over the past two weeks.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Baltimore Orioles have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the futureExplain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Betting Trends
- Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.50 Units / 55% ROI)