
Toronto Blue Jays
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+170O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-200
(-110/-110)-200
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+170)Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)Los Angeles’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Daulton Varsho, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineThe Toronto Blue Jays bullpen ranks as the 2nd-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)Tyler Glasnow has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 3.5 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-200)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+170)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 146 games (+23.29 Units / 12% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
